Dude, who even knows.

16th November 2022

Post reblogged from Kontextmaschine with 7 notes

kontextmaschine:

So, I think I have my bearings again post-election.

  • In the culture arena, the 2010s-born commanding heights snot-left is shattered and turns on each other, Twitter as on-sides platform being disrupted is a big part
  • They might be able to wring some backup there from DC, maybe 2 or 3 years from corporate America before they read the writing on the wall
  • The Dems’ midterm Win! leaves them more or less where they were, getting a 51st senate seat gives them committee majorities so stuff comes to the floor quicker & easier, by itself the Senate confirms judges and like the GOP under Trump they do that singlemindedly, getting nearly as many in as Trump, albeit with the very best seats no longer open for filling
  • The legislative uppity Dems either settle in for more service to the oldsters or mount an insurgency that either just gets slapped down or gets a few token wins to mask being slapped down
  • The GOP in Congress is the same unstable mess it was, just now an unstably infighting one
  • In particular they won’t manage to get out of the Dems’ way as they fight amongst themselves, and will give them things to unite against
  • Biden pushes some economic stuff which fair, Reagan–Trump kept moving right even under Clinton and at least hardly left under Obama
  • DeSantis displaces Trump before the primaries start
  • The Supremes start to dismantle workplace/civil rights/(overlap) law
  • Russia’s pullback from Ukrainian territory just conserves lives and materiel as it switches focus to “break NATO”. It at least chips it. Putin’s cultivated a militant “civil society” that pushes right as third parties, it gets a bit out of his control but the CIA can’t well build them up to take over
  • States are firmly red or blue, and the blue ones get used as the best vehicle for liberalism just like the red ones. This makes life a bit insufferable with the cultural tide holding 3-5 years longer there, the bond market gets them in the end tho

I’ll come back to this tomorrow

Tagged: for the day crew

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