Dude, who even knows.
Post reblogged from Kontextmaschine with 476 notes
Also to anyone complaining about countries devoting resources to this sub, the US maintains deep sea capabilities for reasons of state, which includes deep sea rescue capabilities mostly relating to the SLBM leg of the nuclear triad, this was a free practice scenario and like, enrichment for those guys.
Like Air Force SERE and search & rescue, a lot of this isn’t really justified in terms of per-incident return on investment, but by affecting combatants’ senses of the lethality of defeat it changes their payoff matrices in ways that minimize principal-agent problems.
Same as the Great Ghost Dance or General Butt Naked convincing warriors they had magical protection from the enemy, or Japanese, Christian, or Islamic ideas of death at war as an honor bringing afterlife rewards (with chaplains embedded with armies to reinforce the sense of protection against ultimate annihilation), or even a lot of the function of battlefield medics in an explosive age (from a government perspective a multiple amputee soldier is just as much a total loss as a dead one, and costs for ongoing care besides) – shifting some margin of your forces’ energies from self-protection to mission success is huge
In support of this, the US Navy seems to have known that the sub was lost almost immediately after it happened. Presumably “the sound was not definitive” because they wanted an excuse for a training exercise, but the fact that they used the location of the sound to narrow the search area somewhat reveals how little they were planning on finding anyone alive.
Part of it is – the military only publicizes the successful search & rescue extractions, they don’t put out press releases “yeah, that guy’s a goner” for the troops to update their probabilities on.
The post-Vietnam “POW-MIA” conspiracy theory that missing but unconfirmed dead combatants were being still held in captivity got a lot of its kick from the way a lot of those MIAs were well-connected college-educated officers, because the typical US combatant never heard from again was a pilot who had been shot down over the jungle.
Post reblogged from with 476 notes
Also to anyone complaining about countries devoting resources to this sub, the US maintains deep sea capabilities for reasons of state, which includes deep sea rescue capabilities mostly relating to the SLBM leg of the nuclear triad, this was a free practice scenario and like, enrichment for those guys.
Like Air Force SERE and search & rescue, a lot of this isn’t really justified in terms of per-incident return on investment, but by affecting combatants’ senses of the lethality of defeat it changes their payoff matrices in ways that minimize principal-agent problems.
Same as the Great Ghost Dance or General Butt Naked convincing warriors they had magical protection from the enemy, or Japanese, Christian, or Islamic ideas of death at war as an honor bringing afterlife rewards (with chaplains embedded with armies to reinforce the sense of protection against ultimate annihilation), or even a lot of the function of battlefield medics in an explosive age (from a government perspective a multiple amputee soldier is just as much a total loss as a dead one, and costs for ongoing care besides) – shifting some margin of your forces’ energies from self-protection to mission success is huge
In support of this, the US Navy seems to have known that the sub was lost almost immediately after it happened. Presumably “the sound was not definitive” because they wanted an excuse for a training exercise, but the fact that they used the location of the sound to narrow the search area somewhat reveals how little they were planning on finding anyone alive.
Post reblogged from the akratic socratic with 346 notes
internet user pedestalizing young attractive women or interpreting their behavior much more charitably than they would for another demographic: being nicer to women is feminism, yes? I am fighting the incentives that make things weird and bad?
// incoherently getting this out before going for dinner
there’s a person on twitter who’s a friend of a friend through multiple links, shows up on my feed sometimes, generally makes funny and enjoyable posts. Once made a post that was like, “when men have messy apartments I’m like yeah okay, but when women have messy habitats I’m a little freaked out and I judge them more”
I was. amazed by this. My dude, this is literally sexism! You have wrapped around all the way and returned to normal sexism! How do you not recognize this! I almost pointed this out, but decided we didn’t have the rapport / character limit for this conversation to have P>0.8 of going well, and scrolled on.
almost everyone in my extended irl and internet sphere wants Equality in some vague way. they want the Dynamics to not Be Fucked, and they mill around doing things that are not “literally trying to treat people the same way regardless of gender”. And my axe to grind is that (1) this will tend to deposit you back into Literal Normal Sexism land, (2) even if you’re in some New Weird Sexism land, it’s still sexism and you should cut that out.
when I was younger I used to be a hardliner on “literally treat people the same way”. then I became more corrupt or less autistic or whatnot and now recognize this isn’t possible, but I still think genderblindness should be the starting point. And people seem so freaking interested in doing anything but this. They want to analyze the differences and digest them into different treatment. They themselves have personal or social incentives for wanting or giving certain kinds of treatment. And those incentives will win out over (my) (genderblind) ideology
I was hosting a party last week, and found out a potential woman attendee had (1) drunkenly gone around grabbing men’s asses at a prior event, (2) made public posts complaining about being shot down unnecessarily cruelly when one of them declined to cuddle with her. Said guy was telling me this in an uber back from buying alcohol and I was amazed, like, wait, you’re relaying this so casually – don’t you want her banned? I will if you want.
And he just – didn’t. He said that while he now disliked her, and felt slightly violated, he didn’t mind that much, and he didn’t want her banned just for fairness’s sake. Which was his prerogative. And it was one of many moments when I realized that very few people on any ideological branch are on board with this program that seems obvious to me, which is that we will not have equality until we are willing to treat people equally. The forces of unequal treatment are just that powerful.
(Not that I’ve, you know, gone around with a megaphone and said “HEY, DOES ANYONE ELSE THINK, NAIVELY, THAT WE SHOULD JUST – TRY THIS LITERAL EQUALITY THING –”)
sigh. I’ll soon shut up and hit post and go out for dinner, and probably during dinner I’ll start squirming about participating in culture war and delete this
but. come on! I know this isn’t 100% possible, but can we shoot for 90% or 80%? Can people not see that new double standards, of any kind, are not the way out?
Well there’s not consensus over what the form of equal treatment should be. In the 1980s-90s, the view that women should adopt the male practice of accepting petty unwanted sexual aggression with equanimity – which would ALSO represent gender-equalized norms – was very widely attested.
Post with 1 note
So in Japan itself, between population density and Mazda-inspired knowledge base, was the assumption that everyone would have access to a mechanic who knows what to do with a Wankel engine?
Post reblogged from The Prey Of Aimless Days with 224 notes
Russia has basically privatized all of its military operations in Africa over to Wagner in the last few years, so one big question is what now happens to the tens of thousands of Russian mercenaries spread out across like ~5-10 African nations
Wild card in the new Chinese/French/Saudi Scramble for Africa
Post reblogged from No Blogging Allowed with 346 notes
internet user pedestalizing young attractive women or interpreting their behavior much more charitably than they would for another demographic: being nicer to women is feminism, yes? I am fighting the incentives that make things weird and bad?
Post with 7 notes
In the 1950s, the Japanese export sector just then standing back up was known for pottery and cheap folded-tin toys.
In the 1960s after investing in machinery more modern than western legacy forges they started towards a leading position in steel.
In the 1970s, they came for big-ticket consumer products like appliances and automobiles.
By the 1980s they were exporting electronics, industrial management expertise, and capital.
(They had been known for optics since before WWII.)
Since the 1990s they have been exporting their culture.
Korea has very intentionally been following the same path with maybe a 25 years’ lag.
Post reblogged from David J Prokopetz with 4,873 notes
I totally understand the sentiment behind applying the “I want shorter games made by people who are paid more to work less” meme to tabletop RPGs, but speaking as an editor and project manager, convincing tabletop RPG authors to write less is often precisely the problem. Like, no, Steve, a special ability whose mechanical effect is “you get to reroll a die” doesn’t need 275 words of flavour text. Put the worldbuilding bible down, Steve – don’t make me get the garden hose.
Like, I get that nobody wants a tabletop RPG that reads like stereo instructions, but on the other hand, RPG manuals are a kind of technical reference, and people need to easily be able to look up what shit does. There exists a happy medium between the RPG-as-stereo-instructions and a sea of italics were half the time the name of an ability and its associated rules toy end up on different spreads because the associated lore forced a mid-sentence page break.
(At one point I tried to compromise with an author like “well, what if we keep the long version, but also include a bullet-pointed quick reference sheet?”, and they were like “but I want people to have to read the microfiction”. I had to let that one sit for a full 24 hours before I trusted myself to compose a sufficiently diplomatic response.)
Given writers’ love of writing about writing, this was maybe an advantage of the Shadowrun books’ flavor-text-as-forum-posts format, if a writer was tempted to write too much and received pushback it could be replaced with dramatizing an in-universe poster starting to go overboard and getting brickbats
Post reblogged from ur mum delenda est with 36,007 notes
most sunken ships only manage to kill people once. hats off to the titanic, the safest ship of all time
Post reblogged from Baconmancer with 3,324 notes
So two people matched on a dating app and both of them used ChatGPT to message each other, went on a date and had a horrible fucking time.
Two other things
1. This is creepy and extremely dumb from both sides
2. However, it is very funny (read: absolutely expected) that the woman immediately came clean and owned up to using ChatGPT and the fucking guy didn’t own up to it
3. If he had owned to it they *might* have had a good laugh at how silly it was and then actually had a good date
kick the people out of the situation. let the AIs date
Page 97 of 3446